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Markets
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Reading the crowd...
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Bias and Conviction Map
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Kalshi
Polymarket
Both
5h
1d
2d
3d
7d
5h
Bearish
Balanced
Bullish
Higher conviction
Lower conviction
Tracks directional tilt (bearish to bullish) and how strongly that view is held over time.
Heat Key
Low heat - slow repricing / low turnover.
Elevated heat - active repricing / moderate turnover.
High heat - fast repricing / high turnover.
Ellipses are source-specific (Kalshi = green, Polymarket = white) across selected windows.
Breadth and Rotation
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Kalshi
Polymarket
Both
5h
1d
2d
3d
7d
0
50
100
Feb 26
11:24 AM
Index (0-100)
Breath - How diversified conviction is across active markets
Rotation - How quickly top markets change
Solid = Kalshi, dashed = Polymarket.
Markets drawing the most attention right now
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Kalshi
Polymarket
Open markets only
Updated unknown
Ranked by impact
Δ24h shows the market move versus an approximately 24-hour baseline (when available).
Methodology
Driver
Conviction
ⓘ
Impact
ⓘ
No major active drivers right now – check back soon
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